Choosing the Right Storm Prediction Tool

Anastasia Turyanski
Anastasia Turyanski
  • Updated

Tomorrow.io provides several tools for forecasting and monitoring thunderstorms and lightning.

Thunderstorm Probability is designed for broader thunderstorm risk, which may include hazards such as lightning, heavy precipitation, strong winds, and hail. Lightning parameters focus specifically on lightning risk.

Choose the tool based on the weather risk affecting your operation and how far ahead you need guidance.


Which Tool Should I Use?

If you need to... Use
Predict thunderstorms within CONUS, up to 36 hours ahead Thunderstorm Probability — NextGen
Assess longer-range thunderstorm risk or locations outside CONUS Thunderstorm Probability — Classic/non-CONUS
Focus specifically on lightning risk within CONUS Lightning Probability
Get an additional short-term view of lightning risk over the next 60 minutes Lightning Nowcast
Visually monitor lightning activity Lightning 

Thunderstorm Probability (Core Feature, Included)

Use Thunderstorm Probability when your main concern is thunderstorm development.

Within CONUS, Thunderstorm Probability provides standalone thunderstorm guidance for the first 36 hours.

For Classic forecasts and locations outside CONUS, Thunderstorm Probability depends on precipitation occurring and should be reviewed together with the precipitation forecast.

[Learn more about Thunderstorm Probability]


Lightning (Premium Feature)

Use Lightning to visually monitor lightning activity and development.

It is intended for situational awareness rather than as the primary forecast signal for an operational decision.

[Learn more about Lightning]


Lightning Probability (NextGen™ Customers)

Within CONUS, NextGen Lightning Probability provides standalone lightning guidance up to 36 hours ahead.

Use Lightning Probability when lightning itself is the primary hazard affecting your operation. Lightning Probability is available within CONUS only.

If you are concerned with thunderstorms more broadly, use Thunderstorm Probability instead.

[Learn more about Lightning Probability]


Lightning Nowcast (NextGen™ Customers)

Use Lightning Nowcast for short-term lightning guidance over the next 60 minutes.

Lightning Nowcast uses a separate model from Lightning Probability and can provide an independent, short-term view of lightning risk. The two forecasts may not always agree, so Lightning Nowcast can be used as a second source of guidance as an operational decision approaches.

[Learn more about Lightning Nowcast]


Need Help?

For help choosing the appropriate storm prediction tool, contact support@tomorrow.io or reach out to your Account Team.

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